Our averages include polls collected by The New York Times and by FiveThirtyEight. The estimates adjust for a variety of ...

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major ... which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

The polls in Pennsylvania continue to show a tight race with nearly a week until Election Day. According to the ...

Understandably, the 538 presidential forecas t views Pennsylvania as a toss-up ... there have been over 100 presidential polls in the Keystone State, while no other state has more than 85 so ...

Pennsylvania is considered one of the seven key swing states that could decide the 2024 presidential election — and part of ...

Vice President Kamala Harris leads former President Donald Trump by just one point—a near-tie—in Pennsylvania in a new poll ...

ToplineThe swing state race between former President Donald Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris is effectively tied, with ...

Kamala Harris and Donald Trump need Pennsylvania on Election Day 2024 for a possible presidential election win. Here's what ...

Polls are more reliable in swing states, especially in the Sun Belt. Want to know who will win the 2024 presidential election? Flip a coin. The race is very likely to come down to seven key swing ...

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major ... which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.